This latest survey shows that, nationally, 34 percent of eligible and decided Canadian voters would support the Liberal Party if an election were held today, compared with 36 percent in the March-April period (this difference falls well within the margin of sampling error). The Conservative Party now has the support of 31 percent (versus 30%), while the New Democratic Party is also holding steady at 20 percent (versus 19%). One in ten (11%) Canadian voters remain undecided about which party might deserve their support (down from 13%).
Sure it's still embarassing as a Canadian that we have government that was caught red handed bribing opposition MP's for votes and yet still has a lead. But it's better than the doomsday scenarios other pollsters have been painting lately of a Liberal Majority government on the horizon.
This poll had a high sample size, and it was done over a period of a month. Also I wonder when pollsters are finally going to admit the obvious, and have a seperate poll showing the numbers for English Canada excluding Quebec. The Tories and the NDP still don't have a heartbeat in La Belle Province, and until they do, showing national numbers is worthless. Quebec is all about the Bloc vs. the Liberals.
In other words in English Canada both the Liberals and Tories are at tied at 38% based on my calcs. Not something to panick over. It's something to work on.
I guess that's asymetrical federalism for polling, eh?